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The world of college football is never short of surprises, and with Week X on the horizon, we’re in for another thrilling slate of games that could drastically impact the College Football Playoff (CFP) landscape. From top-ranked programs battling to maintain their spot in the playoff picture to underdog teams looking to make a statement, there are plenty of matchups that have upset potential.
In this article, we’ll break down some of the most anticipated matchups and explore which teams are at risk of falling to an unexpected defeat. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a casual observer, these games are worth keeping an eye on as we head into the critical stretch of the season.
Game Overview:
Oregon enters this game as a massive 25-point favorite, but Maryland could have an opportunity to surprise the Ducks if they can capitalize on the right moments. Despite Oregon’s impressive season, this game has “trap” written all over it.
Oregon’s Focus:
The Ducks have been riding high, with their eyes firmly set on the CFP and the Big Ten Championship. However, the pressure and hype surrounding their success could lead to complacency. College football is notorious for shocking upsets, and if Oregon allows themselves to lose focus for just one quarter, Maryland might have the window they need.
Maryland’s Path to Victory:
For Maryland, it’s all about causing turnovers. While their defense struggles to keep up with Oregon’s potent passing attack, they’ll need to disrupt quarterback Bo Nix’s rhythm and force mistakes. Furthermore, Maryland’s defense is ranked in the top 20 against the run, which could help slow down Oregon’s ground game. If they can get a few lucky breaks early, the momentum shift could be enough to pull off an upset.
Upset Meter:
Given Oregon’s strong overall performance, the upset potential here is low, but still present. This one’s a 1 out of 5 on the upset meter — Oregon is likely to survive, but don’t count out a Maryland ambush.
Game Overview:
Indiana’s chances of pulling off a victory over Michigan may seem slim, but the Hoosiers have an interesting opportunity. Michigan is heading into this game with some serious internal questions after their recent performances, and Indiana has been playing with surprising consistency.
Michigan’s Struggles:
The Wolverines have not been the offensive juggernaut that many expected this season. Their quarterback play has been steady, but not spectacular, and their inability to light up the scoreboard against lesser teams has been a concern. Michigan’s defense has been solid, but in college football, if you’re not scoring, you’re vulnerable.
Indiana’s Mentality:
Indiana knows this game is a stepping stone toward a more important matchup later in the season. If they can get into Michigan’s head early and turn this into a gritty, low-scoring affair, they could throw off the Wolverines’ rhythm. Indiana hasn’t beaten Michigan in years, but they have the opportunity to disrupt Michigan’s playoff hopes.
Upset Meter:
Michigan should still have enough to take care of business, but don’t be surprised if this one gets a little dicey. I’d rate this upset at 2 out of 5.
Game Overview:
This matchup between Tennessee and Mississippi State might not seem like an upset alert on paper, but there’s a lot of room for unpredictability. Mississippi State has shown flashes of brilliance under first-year coach Jeff Lebby, and Tennessee’s offense has been hit or miss this season.
Tennessee’s Vulnerabilities:
Despite Tennessee’s solid record, their offense has been prone to mistakes. Quarterback Joe Milton has had issues with accuracy, and the Vols have struggled with dropped passes and missed opportunities. Tennessee’s focus could be elsewhere as they prepare for a massive game against Georgia next week.
Mississippi State’s Window:
Led by quarterback Michael Van Buren, Mississippi State could make this game interesting if they catch Tennessee sleeping. Their defense has the potential to disrupt Milton’s timing, and if they can get their own offense rolling, they could take advantage of any lapses in Tennessee’s game plan.
Upset Meter:
This one feels like a true upset possibility. The Bulldogs have the talent to make this one uncomfortable for Tennessee. I’d rate this one a solid 3 out of 5 on the upset meter.
Game Overview:
Miami enters this game as the favorite, but Georgia Tech has been a thorn in the side of higher-ranked teams in the past. Miami, coming off a tough loss, will be looking to rebound, but they could find themselves in trouble if they don’t bring their A-game.
Miami’s Challenges:
The Hurricanes have struggled with consistency, particularly on offense. Their recent success has been powered by a strong running game, but Georgia Tech is solid against the run. Miami’s quarterback situation is still somewhat up in the air, with starter Tyler Van Dyke dealing with injury concerns.
Georgia Tech’s Opportunity:
Georgia Tech thrives in games where they can play spoilers. Head coach Brent Key knows how to get his team up for these kinds of matchups, and if they can slow down Miami’s run game and exploit any quarterback uncertainty, they could shock the Hurricanes at home.
Upset Meter:
Miami is still the better team, but Georgia Tech has a knack for upsets, especially when they’re least expected. This one is a 3 out of 5 on the upset meter.
Game Overview:
The showdown between Washington and Penn State has all the makings of an upset. Washington’s elite defense and the potential for quarterback Drew Allar to have a shaky performance make this a compelling matchup.
Washington’s Strengths:
Washington’s defense has been one of the best in the country, and they’ve proven they can handle high-pressure situations. The Huskies’ secondary could give Penn State’s passing attack problems, particularly if Allar struggles with his consistency.
Penn State’s Ground Game:
On the flip side, Penn State boasts a solid rushing attack with Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen. If they can control the clock and establish the run early, it could take the pressure off Allar and open up play-action opportunities.
Upset Meter:
This game has all the makings of a classic. With Washington’s defense and Penn State’s inconsistency, this one could get tight. I rate this one a 4 out of 5 on the upset meter.
Game Overview:
Army’s matchup with North Texas is one to watch for potential upset potential. While Army has traditionally been known for their strong ground game and defense, North Texas brings an explosive air attack that could cause major problems for the Black Knights.
Army’s Ground Game:
Army’s offensive style relies heavily on grinding out clock with the run game. If they can dominate possession and keep North Texas off the field, they could control the tempo. However, without their starting quarterback, Bryson Dy, Army could struggle to sustain drives.
North Texas’ Air Raid Offense:
North Texas is among the best teams in the country at throwing the ball, and they will look to exploit Army’s defense through the air. If Army can’t stop North Texas’ aerial attack, they could find themselves playing catch-up in a game that doesn’t fit their style.
Upset Meter:
This is the upset to watch. Without Bryson Dy, Army’s chances of holding their own diminish significantly. I’d rate this one a 5 out of 5 on the upset meter.
Week X in college football has the potential to shake up the entire playoff picture. From Oregon and Michigan’s potential slip-ups to Tennessee and Miami looking vulnerable, it’s clear that no team is safe. Be sure to tune into these games, as they could change the trajectory of the College Football Playoff race in dramatic fashion.
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