The Rise of NFL’s Most Surprising Quarterbacks: How Derek Carr, Sam Darnold, and Baker Mayfield Are Leading the Pack

Introduction: In the 2024 NFL season, three names are unexpectedly making waves: Derek Carr, Sam Darnold, and Baker Mayfield. Each quarterback has stepped up to lead their respective teams, making them key contenders in their divisions. Fans and analysts alike are surprised to see these players — once dismissed as mid-tier QBs — now sitting at the helm of some of the league’s most impressive offenses. Through the first two weeks of the season, these players have posted eye-popping statistics that force us to reconsider their status among the NFL’s elite. Let’s dive into what’s making these quarterbacks stand out, how their teams are performing, and what the future holds.

 

1. Statistical Domination

As mentioned in the podcast, Derek Carr, Sam Darnold, and Baker Mayfield are not just winning games; they are putting up exceptional numbers. Derek Carr leads in QBR, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage, while Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold are close behind in multiple categories.

  • Top NFL Performers: Carr and Mayfield both boast five passing touchdowns, with Darnold just one behind.
  • Efficiency: Carr’s QBR (96.2) tops the league, while Mayfield (69.6) and Darnold (71.5) round out the top six.
  • Completion percentage has all three in the top ten, further solidifying their standing as top-performing quarterbacks.

2. Early Season Success

Each quarterback has led their team to a 2-0 start. For context:

  • Baker Mayfield’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers are improving from last season, thanks in part to his leadership and adaptability.
  • Derek Carr’s New Orleans Saints are thriving under Clint Kubiak’s offense, demolishing teams like the Carolina Panthers while dominating divisional matchups.
  • Sam Darnold’s Minnesota Vikings have also seen a resurgence, with Darnold taking the reins and silencing critics.

This early success positions each team as a front-runner in their division. Carr’s Saints and Mayfield’s Buccaneers are leading the NFC South, while Darnold’s Vikings sit atop the NFC North.

 

3. Facing Weak Opponents or Genuine Improvement?

While some critics argue that the strength of schedule has benefited these quarterbacks, especially Darnold, who faced the Giants, and Carr, who faced the Panthers, Mayfield has arguably had the toughest schedule. Beating the Detroit Lions in a playoff rematch and securing a victory over the Commanders are no small feats. As we move forward into week three, these quarterbacks will face even stiffer competition, giving us a clearer picture of their long-term viability.

 

Deep Dive into the Quarterbacks’ Stats

Derek Carr:

Carr’s transition to the Saints has been seamless, with him leading the league in multiple statistical categories, such as:

  • Touchdowns: 5 (Tied for 1st)
  • QBR: 96.2 (1st)
  • Completion Percentage: 76.9% (2nd)

Carr’s ability to quickly adapt to Clint Kubiak’s offensive scheme is impressive. He’s shown poise, especially in critical moments, and his precision passing has been a key factor in the Saints’ success.

 

Sam Darnold:

Darnold has been the biggest surprise of 2024. After struggling early in his career, he’s revitalized his game under head coach Kevin O’Connell.

  • Touchdowns: 4 (Tied for 2nd)
  • QBR: 71.5 (Top 6)
  • Completion Percentage: 72% (Top 10)

Critics may argue that his opponents thus far haven’t been strong, but Darnold’s consistent performances show that he’s capable of leading the Vikings through a challenging season.

 

Baker Mayfield:

Mayfield’s second year with Tampa Bay has him looking more polished than ever. His experience and chemistry with the team are paying dividends.

  • Touchdowns: 5 (Tied for 1st)
  • QBR: 69.6 (Top 6)
  • Completion Percentage: 73.5% (6th)

His performance against tough opponents like the Lions and Commanders has turned heads, showing that Mayfield is more than just a game manager—he’s a leader.

 

Challenges Ahead

Week 3 and Beyond:

The next few weeks will test the true mettle of these quarterbacks.

  • Derek Carr faces the Philadelphia Eagles, one of the top NFC contenders. A win here will cement his status as a top-tier quarterback.
  • Sam Darnold squares off against the Houston Texans. While the Texans are dealing with injuries, they still present a formidable defense that will challenge Darnold.
  • Baker Mayfield has a relatively easier week against the Denver Broncos, but Week 4 brings a clash with the Eagles, a game that could further solidify his place among the league’s top quarterbacks.

 

Coaching’s Influence

Each quarterback owes part of their success to their coaching staff:

  • Clint Kubiak (Saints) has implemented a highly efficient, no-nonsense offense for Derek Carr.
  • Kevin O’Connell (Vikings) has brought the best out of Sam Darnold, not letting injuries to key players become an excuse for poor performance.
  • Liam Cohen (Buccaneers) continues to refine Baker Mayfield’s game, helping him grow in confidence and consistency.

 

Conclusion:

Through two weeks, Carr, Darnold, and Mayfield have made a compelling case as top 10 quarterbacks in the league. Week 3 will bring even greater challenges, and how they perform will help solidify or diminish their early-season successes. What we do know is that these three have surprised everyone, and the 2024 NFL season is shaping up to be a career-defining moment for each of them.

 

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