Every year, NBA general managers (GMs) participate in a comprehensive survey that provides invaluable insight into the league’s trends, expectations, and evaluations. The 2024 NBA GM Poll has already revealed a few major storylines, with the Boston Celtics emerging as heavy favorites to repeat as champions. An overwhelming 83% of GMs believe the Celtics have what it takes to secure another title, largely due to their formidable roster, which features a blend of experience and star power. While injuries—such as Kristaps Porzingis’s early-season setback—might give rival teams a window of opportunity, the Celtics remain the most well-rounded team in the league, particularly in the Eastern Conference. The poll also highlights the rising prominence of the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks, signaling a shift in the power dynamics in the NBA.
In the MVP race, the poll shows a strong consensus in favor of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who garnered 40% of the votes. The Oklahoma City Thunder guard has become one of the league’s brightest stars, and with the team on the rise, he’s positioned to take his game to new heights this season. Interestingly, other top candidates like Luka Dončić, Joel Embiid, and Jayson Tatum also received attention, reflecting the deep pool of MVP contenders in 2024. The defensive category was another area of focus, where Victor Wembanyama’s name stands out. The San Antonio Spurs rookie, who received 40% of the votes as the best defensive player, is already being seen as a future Defensive Player of the Year candidate, adding another layer of intrigue to his highly anticipated debut season.
Offseason moves also came under the microscope, with the Oklahoma City Thunder being recognized for making the best moves, securing 37% of the votes. While their additions may not include a superstar acquisition, their strategic roster moves and strong draft performances position them as one of the most promising teams heading into the season. The Philadelphia 76ers also made waves with their roster overhaul, specifically through the addition of Paul George, who was voted as the acquisition expected to make the biggest impact. As the 2024 season unfolds, these predictions will undoubtedly influence how fans, analysts, and players alike approach the upcoming campaign, with eyes on both the Celtics’ quest for back-to-back titles and the emergence of young stars like Wembanyama and Gilgeous-Alexander.
The Boston Celtics are the clear frontrunners in this poll, with a staggering 83% of NBA general managers predicting they will win the 2024 NBA Championship. This comes as no surprise given the Celtics’ stacked roster, which includes Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and the newly acquired Kristaps Porzingis.
Porzingis, while recovering from an injury, is expected to make a return by December or January, which could further solidify Boston’s chances of maintaining dominance in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics have a well-rounded team, and their depth gives them an edge over their rivals.
The race for MVP is wide open, but Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands out as the top pick, receiving 40% of the votes. SGA has been a finalist in recent years, and if he continues to perform at an elite level while leading the Thunder to success, it’s easy to see why GMs are optimistic about his chances.
When asked which player they would start a franchise around, a remarkable 77% of GMs chose Victor Wembanyama. This overwhelming endorsement reflects the high expectations placed on the 19-year-old phenom, who was hailed as a once-in-a-generation talent. While there is still uncertainty around his long-term development, Wemby’s potential is undeniable. His ability to impact both ends of the court, combined with his size and skill set, make him a future superstar in the making.
Unsurprisingly, Luka Dončić topped the point guard list with 37% of the votes, edging out Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (27%) and Steph Curry (20%). While Curry may be considered the best shooter of all time, his age and defensive limitations have led some GMs to believe other players are better suited to run a team at this stage in their careers.
Anthony Edwards emerged as the top shooting guard with 33% of the votes, followed by Devin Booker and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Interestingly, Donovan Mitchell, one of the league’s premier scorers, did not receive any votes for this category, despite having an excellent past few seasons. It’s a surprising oversight, given Mitchell’s ability to score efficiently and create offense.
Jayson Tatum claimed the top spot among small forwards with a well-deserved 50% of the votes. Tatum is recognized not just for his offensive ability, but for his versatility on both ends of the court. His consistency and defensive prowess make him the ideal player for this position.
In the power forward category, Giannis Antetokounmpo reigned supreme with 77% of the vote. Despite concerns about injuries and a decline in overall team performance, Giannis remains the most dominant force at his position. Kevin Durant (7%) and Victor Wembanyama (4%) also garnered votes.
Nikola Jokić, the reigning Finals MVP, easily claimed the title of the best center in the league, receiving 87% of the votes. Joel Embiid and Victor Wembanyama followed with 10% and 3%, respectively. Jokić’s passing, scoring, and rebounding ability are unmatched for a player at his position, which explains his continued dominance.
The Oklahoma City Thunder were recognized for having the best offseason, with 37% of the votes. GMs praised the Thunder for their under-the-radar acquisitions, notably Alex Caruso and Isaiah Hartenstein. Though they didn’t land a superstar, their well-thought-out moves are seen as crucial for their development.
The Philadelphia 76ers, who made significant changes this offseason, including trading for Paul George, garnered 33% of the votes. The team’s ability to upgrade its roster while maintaining flexibility is expected to have a substantial impact in the coming season.
The Rookie of the Year prediction is an intriguing category. Reed Shepard, a promising guard, received 50% of the votes, although it remains to be seen if he’ll have a prominent enough role in Houston to live up to the hype. The rookie class is filled with talent, but Shepard’s development will be something to watch closely.
When it comes to defense, Victor Wembanyama has earned widespread recognition as the Best Defender, receiving 40% of the votes. His combination of size, shot-blocking, and perimeter defense make him an obvious choice. Rudy Gobert, Bam Adebayo, and Drew Holiday all tied for second place, emphasizing how highly regarded they are in the league for their defensive abilities.
In the coaching category, Erik Spoelstra was voted the best coach in the league, with an impressive 69% of the votes. Known for his defensive schemes and ability to motivate players, Spoelstra continues to prove why he’s one of the top minds in the game. Mark Daigneault and Steve Kerr rounded out the top three.
The Oklahoma City Thunder were also recognized for having the most promising young core, with 37% of the vote. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and other talented players, the Thunder are primed for success in the future.
Finally, the GM poll also highlighted the need for a rule change, with many pointing to the luxury tax apron as one of the biggest areas of concern. GMs argue that it stifles teams’ ability to keep their rosters together and makes it difficult for smaller-market teams to compete.
As we approach the 2024 NBA season, the poll results reveal intriguing trends. The Boston Celtics are clearly the favorites to win the championship, but teams like the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks are in position to challenge. Victor Wembanyama’s presence and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s continued rise as a star highlight the exciting young talent in the league, while Jayson Tatum and Giannis Antetokounmpo remain the faces of their respective positions.
With many teams making key moves, the 2024 season promises to be one of the most competitive and unpredictable in recent memory. Fans and analysts alike will be watching closely as these predictions begin to unfold over the next several months.
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